Number 4 only works if you have access to a 3D printer and are good at drawing what you want to produce in CAD. If you are copying an original part that you can take measurements from, it's a little easier, but for one-off stuff, I personally have trouble visualizing what I want something to look like on paper or screen. I have to mock it up on the bike, with frequent standing back to see how it looks!
That leaves us with number 5 - foam. Here again you have a choice, the easiest (and cheapest) to obtain is extruded polystyrene (often called Styrofoam). It’s used as insulation in the building trade, so it’s usually easy to find. The other type of foam often used for pattern making is polyurethane. This is less common to find (you’ll probably have to get it from a specialist supplier) and it is much more expensive.
Both types of foam are easy to cut and shape, but in order to make a useable pattern, you will need to apply some kind of top layer that can be sanded to a fine finish. (The foam is also easily damaged, so a top layer is also desirable to make the pattern more robust.) Choices of top layer include car body filler, paint or laminating resin. Here’s where more even problems are encountered. Polystyrene foam is attacked by the solvents in many paints, body filler and polyester laminating resins. (See pic. below).
From left to right: Sample one has been coated in PVA glue, and once dried, has then been coated with one-part fine surface filler. The PVA has stopped the filler from attacking the foam. Compare this with sample five (far right) which is the same filler over a sample covered with black acrylic paint. You can see from the dish produced, that acrylic paint doesn't stop this filler from attacking the foam. So, painting the foam with PVA acts a a good barrier, but painting with glue is as messy as it sounds.
Sample two is a standard two-part car body filler. It attacks the foam, but as it sets rapidly, the affect is limited. I used this method to make the patterns for the tank cover and tail piece of my previous project and it works Ok, but trying to lay an even cover of body filler is difficult over large, oddly shaped surfaces, so you end up with lots of filling and sanding. Also the slight reaction between foam and filler means that the filler doesn't always 'stick' well to the foam.
Sample three has been painted with acrylic paint and then sprayed with high build primer. This has attacked the foam a little, but the high build primer doesn't really provide the desirable hard shell to the foam.
Sample four is polystyrene resin over a sample painted with acrylic paint. As you can see, the resin fairly munched its way through the foam. So acrylic paint on its own doesn't offer any protection from attack.
Sample five has already been discussed.